Kenya’s economy seemed relatively unaffected by border insecurities with Somalia: from 4.6 percent economic growth last year, the country’s gross domestic product is projected to increase by nearly 6 percent in 2013. Implementation of its 2-year-old constitution has gone smoothly, and inflation is expected to remain at single digits. Analysts expect Kenya is well on its way toward achieving middle-income status.
But despite Kenya’s stable economy and relatively peaceful elections last March, political prospects remain mixed. Observers note that achieving development outcomes in Kenya relies heavily on successfully implementing its new devolved system of governance. Although the approval of the new constitution in 2010 marked a defining moment in Kenya’s history, it introduced a model of devolution that raised doubts about local government capacity. Based on this new government structure, eight provinces and 280 districts will be replaced with 47 new counties.