Fiscal Policy National Expert, USAID Economic Growth Support Activity

Job Description

DevTech is implementing the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) funded Economic Growth Support Activity (EGSA). EGSA supports the government of Indonesia and other stakeholders with (i) evidence-based decision making, (ii) technical assistance to improve GOI capacity in public financial management and related governance, and (iii) capacity building to improve the business enabling environment for foreign and domestic enterprises.

The Fiscal Policy Expert will support Directorate General of Budget Ministry of Finance by developing economic model to measure the sensitivity of the state budget (APBN) posture to macroeconomic indicators, draw policy recommendations to strengthen DG Budget capacity in budget fiscal planning and policy, and provide capacity development to DG Budget fiscal planners to perform the analysis.

Requirements:

• Expert level of knowledge of fiscal reform and public expenditure management, econometric/sensitivity analysis, macro fiscal analysis in Indonesia
• Experienced in conducting quantitative research on macro-fiscal analysis in Indonesia
• Fluency in Bahasa Indonesia and English, both written and oral.
• Experienced in training professionals, especially government officials.

Service Provided:

The Budget Fiscal Policy Expert will work closely with EGSA and DG Budget team to carry out the following tasks:

• Participate in planning meeting with EGSA team, DG Budget team, and other stakeholders.
• Develop sensitivity analysis model to simulate and measure the sensitivity of APBN posture to the changes in macroeconomic indicators
• Present the model and recommendation to DG Budget
• Develop materials and provide capacity building/ transfer knowledge through workshops to DG Budget
• Prepare report which includes documentation on the development of economic model, required data, simulation, and the analysis on model development
• Prepare monthly progress reports outlining activities conducted during the period and link to deliverables in the contract, meetings, output produced, and follow up plan for internal reporting purpose.

• Advanced university degree in Economics, Econometrics, Public Finance, or Public Policy
• At least 12 years’ experience in conducting quantitative research on public finance or macro-fiscal analysis for candidate with master’s degree, and 10 years for candidate with Ph.D. degree
• Prior experience in developing fiscal policy analysis or macroeconomic modeling for MOF/GOI national agency is preferred.

Tasks and expected Level of Efforts (LoE)

Tasks

Deliverables

Expected LoE (days)

Preparation of Inception report

Inception report:

- Work plan

- Schedule

- Methodology

- Proposed detail of policy simulation

5

Consultation with stakeholders,

Meeting and FGD

5

Literature review

5

Data collection and analysis

10

Develop sensitivity analysis model of APBN posture to the changes in macroeconomic basic assumptions

Interim report:

- Documentation of the command/codes, database, and other necessary adjustments to run the model and simulation

- Result of policy simulation and policy implication

14

Conduct an impact assessment / simulation using developed sensitivity analysis model to measure the impact of changes in basic assumption of macroeconomic indicators and forecast for the middle-long run to state revenue, expenditure and financing (fiscal posture).

1. Draft final report:

- Improvement on the interim report, taking into account input from stakeholders

- Policy recommendation on fiscal posture to support economic transformation

2. Sensitivity Analysis model, including command/codes to develop and run the model

15

Deliver workshop and presentations

- Workshop syllabus

- Workshop module

- Workshop completion report

5

Monthly progress report

1

TOTAL

60

All deliverables must be prepared in USAID reporting format and must be acceptable by EGSA and USAID.

The Fiscal Policy expert will submit the invoice monthly along with the monthly progress report as attachments to the invoice. The invoice, output, and progress report will be reviewed and accepted by EGSA’s Public Financial Management (PFM) component lead.

The expert will provide services for up to 60 days of level of effort (LOE) from December 1 2021 – May 31, 2022.

NOTE: This job posting should not be construed to imply that the requirements are the exclusive standards of the position nor will it be the sole basis for any subsequent employee evaluations. Incumbents will follow any other instructions and perform any other related duties as may be required by their supervisor.

All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment and will not be discriminated against on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, national origin, disability, sexual orientation, protected veteran status, or other status protected by applicable law.

About the Organization

DevTech Systems, Inc. (DevTech) is an international data-driven consulting firm dedicated to development, with over 30 years of experience providing advisory services and technical assistance to government, private sector, and civil society stakeholders in more than 100 countries. DevTech specializes are a data driven organization that specializes in informing policy making by delivering focused data-driven evidence-based analysis products and services. DevTech four practice areas are Economic and Data Sciences; Monitoring and Evaluation, Research and Learning (MERL); Education, Gender, and Youth Development (EGY); Public Financial Management (PFM).