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    MDB chief economists weigh in on China's slowdown and the poor

    The consequences of China's economic slowdown may dominate business news, but chief economists at the world's four largest multilateral development banks contend the country's drop in commodity purchasing does not spell doom and gloom for the world's poor.

    By Pete Troilo // 12 October 2015

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    Devex Invested: The EU advances its ‘Europe First’ plan
    Devex Invested: The EU advances its ‘Europe First’ plan

    There was a time when China’s growth trajectory seemed unstoppable. The country’s massive appetite for raw materials, such as oil, metals — iron ore, aluminum, copper, steel — and grain, pushed commodity prices to record highs. At one point, China purchased approximately 40 percent of all natural resources in the world. Private investment poured into commodity producers and exporting countries bent over backwards to service China’s demand.

    That demand is now in decline and it has triggered what some economists are calling the end of the commodities supercycle. Commodity exporters from Brazil to Australia to many countries in Africa are feeling the effects. Worse, China’s adjustment has sent ripples across the global economy, exacerbating market weaknesses in developed and developing economies alike.

    While the consequences of China’s economic slowdown may dominate business news, there is limited talk about how it will affect global development and poverty alleviation.

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    About the author

    • Pete Troilo

      Pete Troilo

      Former director of global advisory and analysis, Pete managed all Devex research and analysis operations worldwide and monitors key trends in the global development business. Prior to joining Devex, Pete was a political and security risk consultant with a focus on Southeast Asia. He has also advised the U.S. government on foreign policy and led projects for the Asian Development Bank and International Finance Corp. He still consults for Devex on a project basis.

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