Access to credit is widely recognized as a critical driver of economic development. But in many low-income markets, formal loans remain out of reach, and digital alternatives often spark concern. Are they empowering or predatory? A new study in Kenya helps answer that question.
In collaboration with Tala, a leading digital lender, we examined the effects of extending small loans, about 4,800 Kenyan shillings or about $40, to individuals typically rejected by standard credit algorithms. Our peer-reviewed findings, recently published in The Accounting Review, suggest that for many borrowers, these loans delivered meaningful gains in both financial activity and overall well-being.
We ran an analysis using mobile phone metadata to track and compare changes among individuals approved for a loan against similar applications who weren’t. The differences were clear. Borrowers who received loans had larger transaction volumes, traveled further distances, had greater communication, and larger social networks. Most notably, approved borrowers reported 21% higher monthly income and were 23.5% more likely to be employed or self-employed.