Organization’s background and structure
Geopolicity Inc. is a public sector economic management consultancy firm, delivering cutting-edge financial management, economic development, research, analytical and program management services that empower governance and growth in developing states.
The firm was founded by Peter Middlebrook and was incorporated in the British Virgin Islands (BVI) in 2005.
Geopolicity is a home grown United Arab Emirates company with worldwide offices in the Middle East, US, Europe, and British Virgin Islands(Est.2005). The firm has two offices in the UAE.
Geopolicity has been involved for almost a decade of providing high level, cutting-edge, client driven, outcome-focused and cost effective services, pitched to the highest international standards. It has more than 2,000 leading associate consultants and 70 full time staff on the ground, many of whom are former senior staff members of government and international finance institutions. Geopolicity’s geographic footprint covers the Middle East and North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa and Central and Southern Asia.
The firm specializes in project management and execution, including financial management and services, and has substantial experience in budget support operations, sector strategy development, and PFM. They have considerable experience in developing countries, and in poverty reduction work, including accelerating growth and employment outcomes for key sectors.
Geopolicity has established a strong track-record of successfully implementing development projects funded both by host governments directly, and by bilateral or multilateral donors across the world. It has a global presence spanning Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia. Its work encompasses more than 200 projects involving complex government transformation efforts focused on public financial management, public sector planning, budgeting, and change management; working with government and corporate clients worldwide and across numerous sectors and industries, including governments (UK, France, Afghanistan, Egypt, UAE, Qatar, Saudi, and more) multilateral organizations of the ranks of the IMF, World Bank, AusAID, AfDB, ADB, OECD, EU, UN, DFID, corporate clients, and think-tanks.
Geopolicity has considerable experience in conceptualizing and driving complex reform agendas, particularly in fragile states. Focal business areas include: public sector governance, sector strategy development, human resource management, private sector development, economic and infrastructure development, public finance management, decentralization and service delivery, as well as political and security risk monitoring; with a strong focus on the political economy
International Development Work
In the area of international development cooperation, Geopolicity supports governments in implementing public sector and economic reforms, with a focus on transition economies and fragile states.
Economic Reform in Emerging Economies
Geopolicity specializes in economic modernization, and has conducted growth and employment diagnostics in Pakistan, Egypt, Iraq, Bangladesh, Ethiopia, and Afghanistan. In Central Asia, Geopolicity led the economic work and analysis for the Afghanistan Regional Economic Cooperation Conference in 2016, funded by the UK Government and United Nations. For the U.A.E Egypt Task Force, Geopolicity undertook economic work on the Second Suez Canal and New Cairo City.
Geopolicity undertakes sector development work in extractives, infrastructure, energy, security, agriculture, education, health, and water, as well as financial sector reforms. In Puntland State of Somalia, they conducted detailed functional sector reviews to strengthen service delivery in education, health and water. In South Sudan, Geopolicity outlined the sector and other security risks as a result of the partition, correctly predicting much of what has emerged since 2011. In Central Asia, Geopolicity led the Afghanistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan (AKT) Value Chain Study of the Agricultural Sector.
Arab Stabilisation Plan
The Arab Stabilisation Plan (ASP) was developed by Geopolicity for Majid Jafar, as a response to the Arab Spring. The ASP targeted youth unemployment across the MENA region, underinvestment in critical infrastructure and the need for elevated economic policies. The technical work on the ASP was led by Dr. Peter J. Middlebrook, and was presented to world leaders, at the World Economic Forum and Davos. The advisory team assembled for the ASP included Mark Malloch Brown, Parag Khanna, Nasser Saidi and Gary Sick.
New Silk Road
The New Silk Road is an initiative of the United States for Central Asia and Afghanistan, which aimed to integrate the region and boost its potential as a transit area between Europe and East Asia. The coordination of the New Silk Road Initiative was led by Dr. Richard Ponzio (Special Advisor to Hilary Clinton and John Kerry, with much of the regional economic work undertaken by Geopolicity Inc., for the US and UK governments).
Economic Research and Analysis
Geopolicity's report on the Costs of the Arab Spring was front page news in the international media for many weeks. The report, entitled 'Rethinking the Arab Spring: A Roadmap for G20/UN Support?' was released on October 2011, and covered by the BBC, Business Insider, The Atlantic, Reuters, Gulf News, and Al Jazeera.
Economics of Piracy
In May 2011, Geopolicity published a report titled The Economics of Piracy, Pirate and Livelihoods off the Coast of Somalia
, establishing a global model that assessed the costs and benefits of international piracy. The model included (a) cost-benefit analysis at the individual pirate level, based on existing socioeconomic and market data, (b) the aggregate costs and benefits at the international systems level, and (c) comprehensive data on the resurgence of piracy by functional classification and sovereign jurisdiction.” Geopolicity's work on piracy was covered globally by CNN, BBC, Time Magazine, and other media. When speaking of their operations, the consulting group emphasized what they called the “Pirate Value Chain” of pirates financiers and sponsors, and stated that “pirates are visible and known, financiers are harder to track, and sponsors remain invisible.
Transitional Economics and Risk
In December 2012, Geopolicity published a thematic paper supporting the OECD Development Assistance Committee's project Global Factors Influencing the Risk of Conflict and Fragility, titled Building a “fragile consensus”: Liberalization and state fragility. The research paper sought to answer three central questions, more exactly, (a) how can different forms of liberalization be classified; (b) how have liberalization policies and measures affected conflict-affected and fragile states; and (c) what are the essential institutional governance pre-conditions to manage the liberalization-fragility interface?
Geopolicity undertook the Afghanistan-Kyrgyz Republic-Tajikistan Agro Food Industry Development project funded by UNDP and Turkey. The project proposed three feasible agro-food industry products (among pre-selected products for inclusive value chain development), with justifications, respective action plans, and budgets.
Geopolicity’s continues to work on famine, fighting hunger and poverty in Ethiopia.
Geopolicity has implemented more than 200 projects in over 40 countries, many of which involve complex government modernization operations. Key projects implemented include:
Economic Impact Assessment of the US$28 Billion New Silk Road
Design and Development of a US$ 8 billion National Infrastructure Development Programme
Economic Impact Monitoring and Reporting for the U.A.E. Egypt Task Force
Next Generation of Public Administration Reforms
Security Sector Public Expenditure Review
Central Bank Reforms to Support Further Liberalisation of Financial Markets
Design and the Proposed Arab Stabilisation Plan (ASP)
National Agricultural Policy, Strategy and Investment Strategy
Sustainability Review of the US$1 billion National Solidarity Program (NSP)
Fundraising Strategy and Establishment of Global Consultative Group for the Elephant Protection Initiative
Environment and Climate Change
Geopolicity supports the UK Charity Stop Ivory. In support of the Elephant Protection Initiative, Geopolicity continues to advise the charity's leadership and management on resource mobilization and harmonization of African EPI Member States, in their engagement with the international donor community.
Geopolicity’s work has been cited by news outlets around the world. Cited by the BBC and covering the economic cost of the Arab Spring, Geopolicity assessed the cost at around US$ 55 billion dollars, and also highlighted that “Libya, Syria, and Egypt have paid the highest price in the Arab Spring”. The report stated that “here will be both winners and losers between countries and within countries… Largely this is a story of oil, the health of public balance sheets and domestic trouble.”
On Al Jazeera, Geopolicity’s CEO, Dr. Middlebrook warned that sanctions on Iran's banking, shipping and energy sectors would be counter-productive and have perverse effects; as they did. On Al Jazeera, Inside Story, Iran: The impact and limits of sanctions, CEO Middlebrook, with Sadegh Zibakalam (a specialist on Iran's foreign policy), and Hillary Mann Leverett (a former US diplomat and official at both the White House and the state department, the need to balance EU and US Foreign policy interests with stability in the Middle East was discussed.
In 2012, a report placed Kabul Bank in the corruption spotlight, and along with it, questions about what the then-president, Hamid Karzai, would do about it, and its implications in the matter. Middlebrook appeared on Al Jazeera's Inside Story with Najeeb Azizi, a former economic adviser to the Afghan ministry of finance and a visiting professor at the economic faculty at Kabul University, Fahim Dashty, the chief editor of Kabul Weekly and president of Afghanistan's national journalist union.
Dr. Middlebrook participated in the Al Jazeera, Inside Story, Afghan elections: Stirring violence and hope, 3 Feb 2014, with Sediq Seddiqi (a spokesman for the Afghan Ministry of Interior), and Ahmad Nader Nadery, (founder & chairman of the Free and Fair Election Forum of Afghanistan), on Al Jazeera’s Inside Story — subject: Can Afghanistan ensure a safe election and a secure future as foreign troops prepare to leave?
— presented by Shiulie Ghosh.
In July 2014, Middlebrook appeared on Al Jazeera's Inside Story, Sisi: Fuel for a backlash?
, discussing the complex fuel tax changes (deleveraging on subsidies) put in place by the Egyptian Government, in order to promote fiscal sustainability. The show was hosted by Folly Bah Thibault, and guests included Middlebrook, Ashraf Abdel Ghaffar, a senior member of the Muslim Brotherhood, and Mahmoud Hamad, an associate professor of International Relations at Drake University.
Geopolicity is led by former World Bank, UK Government and European Union staff member Dr. Peter J. Middlebrook. Dr. Jeffrey A. Stacey is Managing Partner of Geopolicity U.S.A, a former State Department official and Senior Advisor to the Coordinator for Reconstruction and Stabilization, Senior Fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations, Professor of Political Science and International Relations at George Washington and Tulane Universities, Chief of Staff at the European Parliament, and speech writer in the House of Commons. Dr. Richard Ponzio is a Senior Adviser for Geopolicity U.S.A. and a Nonresident Fellow at The Stimson Center. Previously, he directed the Global Governance Program at The Hague Institute for Global Justice, as Director for the Albright-Gambari Commission on Global Security, Justice & Governance and was a Senior Adviser in the U.S. State Department’s Office of the Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, where he conceptualized and coordinated Secretary Hillary Clinton’s and later John Kerry’s New Silk Road initiative.
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"Geopolicity Corporate Capability Statement" (PDF)
"Understanding Afghanistan" (PDF)
"Regional Economic Conference on Afghanistan" (PDF);
"Geopolicity Corporate Capability Statement" (PDF);
"Somalia Education, Health and Water Sector Reviews" (PDF);
"Southern Sudan: Post Referendum State Building Priorities" (PDF);
"Afghanistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan Value Chain Study" (PDF);
"Geopolicity and the Arab Stabilization Plan";
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Grandoni, Dino. "Estimated Bill for the Arab Spring: $55 Billion". The Atlantic;
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News, Nabil Habayeb, Special to Gulf (2011-10-25). "Arab Spring economies need to create employment". GulfNews;
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Reporter, Deena Kamel Yousef, Staff (2011-05-08). "The spoils of piracy". GulfNews;
"Somali piracy costs $8.3bn a year, report says". BBC News. 2011-05-13;
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Germany, SPIEGEL ONLINE, Hamburg. "The Booty Business: Price Tag for Somali Piracy Surges - SPIEGEL ONLINE - International";
Middlebrook, Peter. "Building a “fragile consensus”: Liberalisation and state fragility" (PDF);
"Afghansitan-Kyrgyz-Tajikistan AGRO Food Industry Development – RECCA";
"Fighting hunger and poverty in Ethiopia";
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