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    • Opinion
    • Opinion: Economic Development

    Africa’s future lies in strategic bargain

    Opinion: Economies in the African continent must reject the false dilemma between autarky and openness and instead pursue a strategic bargain that actually builds sovereign power.

    By Rabah Arezki // 04 March 2026

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    A new economic mantra has taken hold in Washington, Brussels, and Beijing: “sovereignty.” Whether framed as national security, strategic autonomy, or state capitalism, it signals the reassertion of political and national security logic over economic logic across the world’s major powers. For Africa, this turn to sovereignty is not a distant spectacle. It is a decisive test.

    The continent enters this moment of global fragmentation with unprecedented assets: A young and growing labor force, expanding consumer markets, and — crucially — a dominant share of raw critical minerals that underpin the energy transition and next-generation defense technologies: cobalt, lithium, and rare earths.

    Yet these advantages could turn into a curse if Africa fails to break with a familiar pattern — that of being a passive supplier of raw materials in a system designed by others, for others.

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    Read more:

    ► Africa’s future depends on investing in women, children, adolescents

    ► Mining can become Africa’s most powerful engine of regional integration

    ► Inside Africa’s high stakes push for mineral sovereignty

    • Economic Development
    • Trade & Policy
    • Social/Inclusive Development
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    The views in this opinion piece do not necessarily reflect Devex's editorial views.

    About the author

    • Rabah Arezki

      Rabah Arezki

      Rabah Arezki is a former chief economist and vice president at the African Development Bank and former chief economist of the World Bank’s Middle East and North Africa region. He is also the former chief of commodities in the International Monetary Fund’s research department. He is a professor and research director at the CNRS-CERDI, a member of the FERDI's chair working group on the international architecture of financing for development, and a senior fellow at FERDI and Harvard Kennedy School.

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