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    • News
    • The Trump effect

    As climate aid dries up, experts warn that extremism is likely to rise

    With aid frozen, and some climate aid unlikely to return, experts warn that extremist groups could exploit the climate crisis to recruit struggling pastoral and farming communities.

    By Jesse Chase-Lubitz // 19 February 2025

    In a rural area of central Somalia, a water infrastructure project expected to bring food security to more than 1.65 million people is officially on hold.

    This project, which receives about 15% of its funding from the U.S. Agency for International Development, is located in an area where al-Shabab, an al-Qaida-linked militant group, operates. Al-Shabab, like other militant groups, finds particular success recruiting from farming and pastoralist communities that have been struck by drought or floods. This region has endured five successive seasons of drought, the longest in recent memory. According to UNICEF, it has left 5 million people in extreme food insecurity and nearly 2 million children at risk of malnutrition.

    Al-Shabab has conducted more than 10,000 attacks since 2006, resulting in more than 29,000 deaths. The Islamic State group, or ISIS, has also recently regrouped in the northeastern region of the country, compounding extremist threats in the region.

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    More reading:

    ► What the aid funding freeze means for climate change

    ► USAID-funded famine early warning system goes offline due to aid freeze

    ► Trump reneges on $4B in Green Climate Fund financing

    • Environment & Natural Resources
    • Funding
    • Democracy, Human Rights & Governance
    • Agriculture & Rural Development
    • Trade & Policy
    • United States Agency for International Development (USAID)
    • Somalia
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    About the author

    • Jesse Chase-Lubitz

      Jesse Chase-Lubitz

      Jesse Chase-Lubitz covers climate change and multilateral development banks for Devex. She previously worked at Nature Magazine, where she received a Pulitzer grant for an investigation into land reclamation. She has written for outlets such as Al Jazeera, Bloomberg, the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project, and The Japan Times, among others. Jesse holds a master’s degree in Environmental Policy and Regulation from the London School of Economics.

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