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    • Devex Invested

    Devex Invested: US DFC could face radically different future under Trump

    A memo proposes folding MCC and USTDA into DFC; an executive order grants DFC authority to make domestic critical mineral investments; and lessons from DFC’s previous foray into domestic projects.

    By Adva Saldinger // 25 March 2025
    Subscribe to Devex Invested today.

    What’s the future of the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation, or DFC? A memo that circulated last week offers one potential vision, and an executive order signed the same day by U.S. President Donald Trump presents another.

    The executive order signed on Thursday focuses on boosting U.S. domestic production of critical minerals, invoking emergency powers to lessen U.S. reliance on foreign sources. It calls on DFC to help fund some of those projects. If that seems surprising, it might be because DFC’s mandate is to invest internationally to further development and foreign policy objectives.

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    Another vision for DFC can be found in the memo, one of several proposals floating around for how to structure the future of U.S. aid. It suggests that the Millennium Challenge Corporation and the U.S. Trade and Development Agency should be folded into DFC. (I’ll note that this proposal’s authors are unknown, though Politico reported it was written by Trump’s aides. Several sources tell me they believe it’s likely not the administration’s position.)

    There have also been rumors that DFC could be the home to a sovereign wealth fund for the U.S. — or become such a fund, or become home to other funds with specific objectives. The agency is also up for reauthorization this year — providing an opportunity to reshape it. But a recent congressional hearing featured mostly previously discussed ideas for how to tweak the agency.

    Read: Memo lays out plan to replace USAID with new humanitarian agency

    ICYMI: Congressional hearing kicks off DFC reauthorization efforts

    A domestic turn

    Under Trump’s executive order, DFC will be granted authority to make investments domestically through the Defense Production Act. DFC will provide loans “that create, maintain, protect, expand, or restore domestic mineral production,” and it will also be able to provide loan guarantees and political risk insurance.

    The order also gives 30 days for DFC’s CEO and the defense secretary to develop and propose a plan to create a mineral and mineral production fund for domestic investments. (While Benjamin Black has been nominated to be DFC CEO, he has not yet been confirmed.) DFC will manage those investments with U.S. Department of Defense funding and consultation with other parts of the government.

    “DFC will now be pivoting much of its capacity to domestic minerals investments,” write Gracelin Baskaran and Meredith Schwartz in an analysis for the Center for Strategic and International Studies that posits DFC could change significantly, and the executive order could change the direction of the upcoming reauthorization process.

    “All of this is very peculiar” and is “so antithetical to the mission” of DFC, Clemence Landers, vice president and senior policy fellow at the Center for Global Development, tells me. She has a number of questions: about the financial additionality of the investments, about staffing up a domestic focused arm of an already stretched agency, and why DFC and not other agencies. “It also kind of makes me wonder, is this one step in the direction of sort of making DFC into a sovereign wealth fund?”

    In early February, Trump signed an executive order directing the treasury and commerce secretaries to come up with a plan to establish a sovereign wealth fund within 90 days. Reports also emerged that some in the administration were discussing turning DFC into a sovereign wealth fund. DFC should stick to what it knows, Landers wrote at the time.

    A history lesson

    But it’s not the first time that DFC has been directed by the Trump administration to make domestic investments. And as it embarks on that journey again, it’s worth taking a look at how things went the first time around: scandal, few investments, and several investigations.

    In May 2020, the first Trump administration gave DFC authority to invest in the U.S. to help build COVID-19 supply chains. Not long afterward, DFC signed a letter of interest to provide the Eastman Kodak Company with a $765 million loan to support the launch of the camera and film company’s new arm to produce pharmaceutical components. That letter resulted in investigations by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the U.S. House of Representatives. Two people were eventually charged with insider trading related to the deal, which never resulted in a loan.

    Other loans were announced — including $590 million to ApiJect Systems to develop a new factory in North Carolina that would produce syringes — but it’s unclear whether they ever materialized. In 2023, DFC announced that it had executed a $410 million loan to National Resilience, Inc. to support manufacturing and delivery of vaccines and critical minerals around the country as part of the Defense Production Act, or DPA, loan program. It also noted at the time that the commitment to provide Resilience with a loan in March 2022 “marked the end of DFC’s role in sourcing projects under the program,” which had a two-year authorization period.

    The Government Accountability Office also investigated the program and released a report in November 2021 finding that the process was slow and complex and DFC did not “fully assess and respond to the risks of carrying out the DPA Loan Program along with its primary mission.”

    It offered two recommendations — that DFC develop a plan to evaluate the program’s effectiveness, and that it complete its systems for accounting for program costs. While DFC has implemented the accounting recommendation, it has not developed a plan to monitor the DPA program’s effectiveness. GAO has recently updated its report, saying “As of March 2025, DFC reported no additional actions to implement the recommendation,” adding that it will continue to monitor DFC’s actions.

    From the archives: GAO report assesses US DFC domestic loan program

    A bigger DFC

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    The aforementioned memo offering a vision for how the Trump administration could restructure aid outlined a plan to bring MCC and USTDA into DFC with a “sole focus of generating American jobs and capital returns to the U.S. via trade, investment, infrastructure (physical and digital), projecting America’s energy and technology dominance.”

    It said that MCC and USTDA would retain their authorities and criteria for investment as separate divisions but work to pave the way for DFC-supported deals. It also set up the new entity as a “powerful counterweight” to China’s Belt and Road initiative.

    The potential blueprint also suggested the creation of a new development insurance facility that would prioritize returns on investment and create opportunities for U.S. businesses and consumers. Success would be measured by capital mobilized, financial returns generated, jobs created, and development outcomes.

    New money would come to the agency from accounts that previously were funneled through USAID and the U.S. State Department. The proposal also suggested that the Office of Management and Budget would need to change the way it scores DFC’s equity investments, which has constrained the agency’s ability to make equity investments since its creation.

    The proposal to bring MCC and USTDA into one agency under DFC is not new. In fact, it was floated in the first Trump administration when DFC was created, a former Trump administration official tells me. While it didn’t happen then, DFC’s board was structured in a way that mirrored MCC’s in order to allow them to work closely or someday merge, the former official says.

    “It would get a little messy, but isn’t insurmountable with things being built from the ground up,” the former official tells me.

    It’s unclear if this proposal will gain traction but executing these changes legally would require congressional action to change statutes and funding allocations. The DFC reauthorization could provide an avenue to do so, though the recent hearing on the matter did not broach these broader changes.

    Read more: How is this ‘reimagined’ proposal for USAID hitting the sector?

    Listen: Unpacking proposals to overhaul US foreign aid 

    What we’re reading

    The World Bank may drop the ban on funding nuclear power, its president, Ajay Banga, says. [Bloomberg]

    Former USAID chief economist on the end of the agency and what comes next. [Devex Pro]

    Viewpoint: Rethinking private capital for development and addressing the real issues at the International Conference on Financing for Development. [Impact Investor]

    Closing the gender gap: A continued investment opportunity. [UBS]

    Slashed aid budgets leave the door open for family offices. [Professional Wealth Management]

    Has U.S. aid been cut by less than we thought? [Devex]

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    About the author

    • Adva Saldinger

      Adva Saldinger@AdvaSal

      Adva Saldinger is a Senior Reporter at Devex where she covers development finance, as well as U.S. foreign aid policy. Adva explores the role the private sector and private capital play in development and authors the weekly Devex Invested newsletter bringing the latest news on the role of business and finance in addressing global challenges. A journalist with more than 10 years of experience, she has worked at several newspapers in the U.S. and lived in both Ghana and South Africa.

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