As the development community awaits further clarity on how U.S. foreign assistance will be restructured under the planned absorption of the U.S. Agency for International Development into the Department of State, this Devex analysis examines which parts of the agency were hit hardest by recent award terminations. This analysis offers early signals of which offices may face the sharpest downsizing or potentially disappear altogether.
The data comes from the most recent batch of award termination records that the Trump administration has submitted to the U.S. Congress. In this analysis, Devex ranks USAID issuing offices — as they are labeled in the dataset — by the percentage of funding that remained unobligated at the time their awards were terminated. In other words, how much of their projected funding pipelines were effectively erased?
To do this, we calculated the share of unobligated funding out of the total estimated cost, or TEC, for each office’s terminated awards. Check out our guide to navigate the jargon and the math behind our analyses. The TEC reflects the maximum potential value of an award — a ceiling, but not a guarantee of funding. If a portion of that ceiling was never obligated — meaning it was committed, but it’s unknown whether it was disbursed to the awardee — and the award was later canceled, that amount is considered lost.